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...Forecasting methods and principles evidence based checklists j scott armstrong kesten c green abstract problem how to help practitioners academics decision makers use experimental research findings substantially reduce forecast errors for all types of problems from our review experiments were used identify that lead accurate forecasts cited authors contacted verify summaries their correct forecasters clients practice commission studies adhere valid developed leading researchers asked omission or in the analyses accuracy can be improved by using one relatively simple those knowledge models provides substantial improvements when causal is good on other hand data multiple regression mining neural nets big analytics are unsuited originality three new choosing validated developing assessing uncertainty presented a fourth checklist golden rule was usefulness combining within individual across different as much currently reduced increasing compliance with conservatism simplicity occam s razor...