1 EFFICIENT MARKETS HYPOTHESIS Andrew W. Lo To appear in L. Blume and S. Durlauf, The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics, Second Edition, 2007. New York: Palgrave McMillan. The ...
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...Efficient markets hypothesis andrew w lo to appear in l blume and s durlauf the new palgrave a dictionary of economics second edition york mcmillan emh maintains that market prices fully reflect all available information developed independently by paul samuelson eugene f fama this idea has been applied extensively theoretical models empirical studies financial securities generating considerable controversy as well fundamental insights into price discovery process most enduring critique comes from psychologists behavioural economists who argue is based on counterfactual assumptions regarding human behaviour rationality recent advances evolutionary psychology cognitive neurosciences may be able reconcile with anomalies there an old joke widely told among about economist strolling down street companion they come upon bill lying ground reaches pick it up says don t bother if were genuine someone would have already picked humorous example economic logic gone awry fairly accurate rendition o...