markov models in medical decision making a practical guide frank a j robert md sonnenberg md beck when a are useful decision involves risk markov models problem that is continuous ...
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...Markov models in medical decision making a practical guide frank j robert md sonnenberg beck when are useful involves risk problem that is continuous over of events and the more time timing important may happen than once such clinical with conventional trees difficult representing settings unrealistic assumptions assume require simplifying patient number finite health called always one discrete states all as transitions from state to another model be represented evaluated matrix cohort or monte carlo simulation newer by algebra repre sentation uses tree representation cycle either represent repetitive ability dependence both utilities allows for accurate probabilities involve these issues words mak key decis ing med sub survival prognosis standard life tables this paper choice method sequent management strategy explores estimating expec example involving surgery tancy pauker described use death mar surgical complications various outcomes treatment itself kov determining ap must restric...