the markovian dynamics of smart money j h steffi yang trinity college university of cambridge abstract i develop a markov model of smart money chasing past winning funds while taking ...
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...The markovian dynamics of smart money j h steffi yang trinity college university cambridge abstract i develop a markov model chasing past winning funds while taking into account associated costs also allows market capital entry and exit steady state allocations are derived using constant transition probabilities results suggest that downside risk is significantly attributed to investor overreaction even though small degree investment movement as opposed immobility can in fact stabilize furthermore performance sensitivity makes it possible two much debated fund styles passive indexing active management simultaneously profitable if insensitive becomes zero sum game where one strategy s profitability always at cost other jel classification g keywords drawdown financial support from bill melinda gates foundation form scholarship gratefully acknowledged would like thank stephen satchell alessio sancetta for their useful comments discussions all errors remain author own welcome email address...